The Long Term

My new  National Trendline code .  Details below! Our democracy just (barely) survived a major assault, and as many have pointed out, it's unlikely to be the last. Even beyond the issues of the 60+ legal challenges presented in court, we've had serious talk among state legislators of trying to overturn the will of the voters, members of county and state voting boards refusing to accept the outcome, 139 US representatives – the overwhelming majority of Republicans in the chamber – and 7 senators, formally challening the vote.  And lest we forget, an actual armed insurrection on the capitol, aimed at disrupting the electoral vote certification.  And having failed at all of those, legislatures in Arizona , Pennsylvania , Georgia , and many other close states are now hard at work either making it harder to vote or to make sure they have the option of overturning the election next time. That is, to put it bluntly, very bad. But there's an even deeper, anti-democratic (but wholl

2020 Prediction Time

How Winners Convince Themselves They're Going to Lose

For all the Pessimism, Things Look Much Better than in 2016

A Short Critique of the 538 Electoral Model

How Inefficient will the Electoral College be this time Around?

10 Reasons Trump is Not Getting Reelected