Posts

We're in Pretty Good Shape

The pundits are there for the clicks, but not me.  I'm here to give you a bit of comfort, and to help you form a plan of action, and with that said, things are looking pretty goddamn good for the 2020 election. If you're anything like me, you want a progressive leading the charge, but more importantly, you want Trump out of there at all costs.  And we need to beat him decisively, for a couple of reasons.

First, a big enough margin will likely carry the Senate as well. It takes no imagination at all to picture McConnell preventing any and all nominations from a President Warren.   Second, as has been noted since the last election, Trump will doubtless contest the legitimacy of the election no matter what happens, and he can do a lot of damage on the way out.  Put another way:
You think this is a guy (or narcissistic sociopath if you prefer) who will accept election results he doesn’t like when he goes to the mattresses on Alabama? — David Plouffe (@davidplouffe) September 5, …

Consulting!

Predictions and Postdictions in the Philly Primaries!

How Lazy are Voters?

It's Never too Early to think about 2020

We actually did pretty well in the Senate

What happened?

Is a Miss as Good as a Mile (in Senate Polling)?

A quick pitch for my house modeler

Shock Polls aren't really so Shocking

Less Stressful than the Needle